Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.002868 0.003075 0.003299 0.003562 0.003865 0.004206 0.004623
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.002581 0.002862 0.003187 0.003597 0.004111 0.004750 0.005633
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.002344 0.002659 0.003039 0.003546 0.004224 0.005140 0.006556
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.002232 0.002584 0.003026 0.003646 0.004533 0.005845 0.008155
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002132 0.002509 0.002998 0.003713 0.004799 0.006547 0.010085
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002005 0.002385 0.002888 0.003645 0.004844 0.006901 0.011570
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001877 0.002249 0.002749 0.003514 0.004765 0.007010 0.012595
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001804 0.002179 0.002694 0.003502 0.004873 0.007496 0.014959
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001673 0.002024 0.002506 0.003267 0.004565 0.007075 0.014383
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001628 0.001985 0.002483 0.003287 0.004708 0.007634 0.017560
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001605 0.001975 0.002500 0.003371 0.004982 0.008581 0.023964
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001565 0.001938 0.002474 0.003381 0.005113 0.009238 0.031079
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001539 0.001920 0.002480 0.003452 0.005396 0.010492 0.051096
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001495 0.001876 0.002442 0.003443 0.005513 0.011348 0.083335
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001442 0.001817 0.002377 0.003380 0.005500 0.011787 0.131345
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001425 0.001809 0.002393 0.003466 0.005846 0.013820 27.910678
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001404 0.001794 0.002394 0.003524 0.006145 0.016040 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001361 0.001743 0.002336 0.003461 0.006120 0.016716 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001310 0.001679 0.002252 0.003342 0.005927 0.016356 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001282 0.001650 0.002224 0.003331 0.006026 0.017819 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001219 0.001563 0.002097 0.003115 0.005536 0.015382 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001201 0.001546 0.002087 0.003133 0.005698 0.017168 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001194 0.001546 0.002105 0.003211 0.006047 0.020881 NaN